Say this about Valdmir Putin; he don't do things in half
measures.
Just days after riots and protests in Kiev ousted the democratically
elected pro-Russian Ukraine
president, Viktor Yanukovych, dozens of armed men in military uniforms seized government
buildings and the airport in the capital of Ukraine's strategic Crimea region. No one seen to
know who these men are but as they had raised the Russian flag over the
government buildings they sized, it doesn't take much to guess.
It feels
as though after getting struck going nothing due to the Sochi Winter Olympics, Russian
President Putin is making up for lost time. In scrambling Russian fighter jets,
granting asylum to Viktor Yanukovych and tacitly backing the takeover by local
Russians of Crimean government buildings, he has all but thrown down the
gauntlet to the new government in Kiev. Honestly I think he shouldn't have bothered because sooner or
later Ukraine will have to go back to the Russian's orbit.
The simple fact is this; Yanukovych did the
only thing he could when he took the deal with Russia.
The economic deal
offered by the West required him to undertake economic reforms in Ukraine that
would have put Ukraine in recession for years. Russia offered him a deal that
did not require political suicide. Would the West now offer better terms to the
new fledgling administration of Ukraine?
Maybe but I
doubt how much better it could be.
However in a
way I also do understand why President Putin scrambled jets and ok the
takeover of the government buildings because...what could the West do? If Russia really go
after the military option in Crimea, they would have a large segment of the
population (some reports says up to 80%) behind them and with a large military
facility anchored in Sebastopol, the Russian would have immediate support from
local forces. I sincerely doubt NATO will take any military action to support
the so-called new government (because most of them are part of the government
that lost the last Ukrainian elections to Yanukovych) in Kiev in such a conflict.
President Putin's moves on Ukraine may seen rash and heavy-handed and it is also one
that's carefully thought out. Unfortunately for the new fledgling
administration of Ukraine, it is also one that's relatively safe.